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BackbonePoP Latency

Theoretical Fiber Latency Formula Verification

Verify AS203314's theoretical fiber latency model with rendered equations, unit checks, and a complete Tokyo-to-Sydney numerical reconciliation.

This page independently reconciles the equations used by the latency-page generator with a worked Tokyo (TYO) β†’ Sydney (SYD) example. It starts with GeoNames city-centre coordinates, carries units through every calculation, and uses a fixed 101.7ms RTT fixture captured on July 18, 2026. Keeping the fixture fixed separates mathematical regression checks from routine latency-matrix refreshes.

Verification scope

This is a reproducibility check for the public theoretical model. It verifies the mathematics and implementation outputs; it does not attempt to reconstruct a deployed cable path. Read Latency Coordinates & Fiber Model Inputs for coordinate resolution, source selection, and engineering assumptions.

Symbols and reference inputs

SymbolMeaningVerification value
AATokyo GeoNames city centre35.68950∘, 139.69171∘35.68950^\circ,\ 139.69171^\circ
BBSydney GeoNames city centreβˆ’33.86785∘,Β 151.20732∘-33.86785^\circ,\ 151.20732^\circ
dgd_gWGS-84 inverse-geodesic distance7 792.8Β km7\,792.8\ \mathrm{km}
ccSpeed of light in vacuum299 792.458Β km sβˆ’1299\,792.458\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}
nsn_sStandard-fiber group index1.46791.4679
nun_uLow-latency-fiber group index1.46201.4620
Ξ»\lambdaEngineering path multiplier1.051.05
Ξ±\alphaAttenuation reference0.20Β dB kmβˆ’10.20\ \mathrm{dB\,km^{-1}}
SSMaximum modeled optical span80Β km80\ \mathrm{km}
Ο„a\tau_aOne-pass amplifier transit delay0.05Β ΞΌs0.05\ \mathrm{\mu s}
RTTpRTT_pReference RTT fixture (2026-07-18)101.7Β ms101.7\ \mathrm{ms}

1. WGS-84 geodesic verification

The implementation solves the inverse geodesic on the WGS-84 ellipsoid:

dg=InverseGeodesic⁑WGS84(A,B)=7 792.8Β kmd_g = \operatorname{InverseGeodesic}_{\mathrm{WGS84}}(A,B) = 7\,792.8\ \mathrm{km}

This avoids the distance error introduced by treating Earth as a perfect sphere. The returned surface distance is the geographic lower-bound input for every later step.

2. Vacuum propagation floor

Round-trip propagation traverses the distance twice. Multiplying by 10310^3 converts seconds to milliseconds:

RTTvac=2dgcΓ—103=2(7 792.8Β km)299 792.458Β km sβˆ’1Γ—103Β ms sβˆ’1=51.99Β ms\begin{aligned} RTT_{\mathrm{vac}} &= \frac{2d_g}{c} \times 10^3 \\ &= \frac{2(7\,792.8\ \mathrm{km})} {299\,792.458\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}} \times 10^3\ \mathrm{ms\,s^{-1}} \\ &= 51.99\ \mathrm{ms} \end{aligned}

The kilometer units cancel, leaving seconds before the final conversion to milliseconds.

3. Silica propagation floors

The group velocity of light in fiber is:

vg=cngv_g = \frac{c}{n_g}

For standard single-mode fiber:

RTTfiber=2dgnscΓ—103=2(7 792.8)(1.4679)299 792.458Γ—103=76.31Β ms\begin{aligned} RTT_{\mathrm{fiber}} &= \frac{2d_g n_s}{c} \times 10^3 \\ &= \frac{2(7\,792.8)(1.4679)} {299\,792.458} \times 10^3 \\ &= 76.31\ \mathrm{ms} \end{aligned}

For the optimistic low-latency material comparison:

RTTULL=2dgnucΓ—103=2(7 792.8)(1.4620)299 792.458Γ—103=76.01Β ms\begin{aligned} RTT_{\mathrm{ULL}} &= \frac{2d_g n_u}{c} \times 10^3 \\ &= \frac{2(7\,792.8)(1.4620)} {299\,792.458} \times 10^3 \\ &= 76.01\ \mathrm{ms} \end{aligned}

The required physical ordering is therefore:

RTTvac<RTTULL<RTTfiberRTT_{\mathrm{vac}} < RTT_{\mathrm{ULL}} < RTT_{\mathrm{fiber}}

4. Engineering path, attenuation, and amplifiers

The transparent engineering reference applies the explicit path multiplier:

de=Ξ»dg=1.05(7 792.8)=8 182.5Β km\begin{aligned} d_e &= \lambda d_g \\ &= 1.05(7\,792.8) \\ &= 8\,182.5\ \mathrm{km} \end{aligned}

Attenuation determines optical power loss:

LdB=Ξ±de=(0.20Β dB kmβˆ’1)(8 182.5Β km)=1 636.5Β dB\begin{aligned} L_{\mathrm{dB}} &= \alpha d_e \\ &= (0.20\ \mathrm{dB\,km^{-1}}) (8\,182.5\ \mathrm{km}) \\ &= 1\,636.5\ \mathrm{dB} \end{aligned}

The span and inline-amplifier counts are:

Nspan=⌈deSβŒ‰=⌈8 182.580βŒ‰=103Namp=max⁑(0,Nspanβˆ’1)=102\begin{aligned} N_{\mathrm{span}} &= \left\lceil \frac{d_e}{S} \right\rceil = \left\lceil \frac{8\,182.5}{80} \right\rceil = 103 \\ N_{\mathrm{amp}} &= \max(0,N_{\mathrm{span}}-1) = 102 \end{aligned}

The amplifier contribution must be converted from microseconds to milliseconds:

RTTamp=2NampΟ„a=2(102)(0.05Β ΞΌs)=10.2Β ΞΌs=0.0102Β ms\begin{aligned} RTT_{\mathrm{amp}} &= 2N_{\mathrm{amp}}\tau_a \\ &= 2(102)(0.05\ \mathrm{\mu s}) \\ &= 10.2\ \mathrm{\mu s} = 0.0102\ \mathrm{ms} \end{aligned}

The complete engineering floor is:

RTTeng=2denscΓ—103+RTTamp=2(8 182.5)(1.4679)299 792.458Γ—103+0.0102=80.14Β ms\begin{aligned} RTT_{\mathrm{eng}} &= \frac{2d_e n_s}{c} \times 10^3 + RTT_{\mathrm{amp}} \\ &= \frac{2(8\,182.5)(1.4679)} {299\,792.458} \times 10^3 + 0.0102 \\ &= 80.14\ \mathrm{ms} \end{aligned}

Attenuation is absent from the propagation-speed term. It affects the model through NspanN_{\mathrm{span}} and NampN_{\mathrm{amp}}, which is dimensionally and physically distinct from group velocity.

5. Mapped-fiber research reference

The separate 1.33Γ— research comparison is:

RTTmapped=1.33RTTfiber=1.33(76.31Β ms)=101.50Β ms\begin{aligned} RTT_{\mathrm{mapped}} &= 1.33RTT_{\mathrm{fiber}} \\ &= 1.33(76.31\ \mathrm{ms}) \\ &= 101.50\ \mathrm{ms} \end{aligned}

This reference is close to the fixed Tokyo-to-Sydney RTT fixture, but it remains a comparison factor rather than a claimed cable length.

6. Efficiency and latency inflation

Using the fixed 101.7Β ms101.7\ \mathrm{ms} verification RTT:

Ξ·=100RTTfiberRTTp=10076.31101.7=75.03%β‰ˆ75.0%\begin{aligned} \eta &= 100\frac{RTT_{\mathrm{fiber}}}{RTT_p} \\ &= 100\frac{76.31}{101.7} \\ &= 75.03\% \approx 75.0\% \end{aligned} I=RTTpRTTfiber=101.776.31=1.3327β‰ˆ1.33\begin{aligned} I &= \frac{RTT_p}{RTT_{\mathrm{fiber}}} \\ &= \frac{101.7}{76.31} \\ &= 1.3327 \approx 1.33 \end{aligned}

The two comparison metrics are reciprocal after converting efficiency from percent to a ratio:

Ξ·100=1I\frac{\eta}{100} = \frac{1}{I}

7. Implementation reconciliation

OutputFormula resultExpected implementation outputDifference
WGS-84 distance7,792.8km7,792.8km0.0km
Vacuum RTT51.99ms51.99ms0.00ms
Standard-fiber RTT76.31ms76.31ms0.00ms
Low-latency-fiber RTT76.01ms76.01ms0.00ms
Engineering distance8,182.5km8,182.5km0.0km
Engineering RTT80.14ms80.14ms0.00ms
Mapped-fiber reference101.50ms101.50ms0.00ms
Inline amplifiers1021020
Amplifier RTT0.0102ms0.0102ms0.0000ms
Fiber efficiency75.0%75.0%0.0pp
Latency inflation1.33Γ—1.33Γ—0.00Γ—

8. Boundary checks

The implementation and its automated tests enforce these invariants:

dgβ‰₯0d_g \ge 0 RTTvac<RTTULL<RTTfiber<RTTengRTT_{\mathrm{vac}} < RTT_{\mathrm{ULL}} < RTT_{\mathrm{fiber}} < RTT_{\mathrm{eng}} Nspanβ‰₯1,Namp=Nspanβˆ’1N_{\mathrm{span}} \ge 1, \qquad N_{\mathrm{amp}} = N_{\mathrm{span}} - 1 RTTampβ‰₯0,Ξ·>0,I>0RTT_{\mathrm{amp}} \ge 0, \qquad \eta > 0, \qquad I > 0

If a future constant, coordinate, or rounding rule changes, the reconciliation test must change with it. This prevents the rendered explanation from silently diverging from the generator implementation.

Continue to Latency Coordinates & Fiber Model Inputs, compare the live Tokyo (TYO) β†’ Sydney (SYD) route, or return to the global latency matrix.

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